I dont have time to learn that. So what we did was we came up with this federated query system. We called it Oggle (sp and the letters may have kind of looked like google. Im not saying they may have been fooled into thinking it was google. No copyright or trademark infringement the lawyers tell. But the fact of the matter is, they already new how to. It was zero learning for them, and it appeared simple. It turned out it was not at all simple because it had features where you could say what the query term was; was it a people, a person, an event, a date and so forth.
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I interviewed over a essay three-week period analysts in Baghdad when I was out there. And that was very difficult, by the way. I used the ethologists technique. This is a type of psychology that has to do with observing organisms in their natural habitat without disturbing them. So these organisms were mi analysts in Baghdad. So i put on a uniform and I sat there at the terminal and did what they did, and I wrote reports and, you know, did stuff like that. And I would reviews hang out in the laundry room and I would hijack them on their way to the chow hall or even the latrine because i didnt want to get them out of their comfort zone, all right? They werent used to talking to geekazoids from headquarters while theyre trying to fight a war, but they did have to go to the laundry room, and thats where i got quality time. Well, did you know that you have a lot of single sign-on capability in federated query with Pathfinder? And they said, ahh!
But the analysts there werent in the habit of doing. I would take it and show it to them. Id say, look, look! (Laughter.) house And they were very busy. Theyre not bad people. They were just extremely busy, and it was not comfortable and familiar to them to look at this non-intel, non-top-secret stuff. It was not easy. It was not simple. It was not in their comfort zone.
That is because there was an interesting sociology which said, honey, would you go to the store? I have to change him; you go buy them. And honey essay goes to the store, and he has to buy diapers, and what else does he buy? So if you buy a certain kind of beer, you're likely to get a direct mailing for pampers. At nsa there is this habit in analysts of only looking summary at highly classified information on highly classified networks. When i used to come back from Iraq, having looked at just vanilla secret stuff, let alone the coalition stuff which was regarded as basically opensourced by the people at nsa, i would say, my god, theres a treasure trove of stuff not on the. You know, sigacts, which is Significant Activity database, records from a military operations point of view everything that happened. It has huge significance for the sigint business.
How many of you have supermarket discount cards? Do you know how much of your privacy you are giving up with those cards? You are giving it all. They know everything that you buy down last match, whatever. The stuff you get in your mailbox is very much determined by what you put when you scan your card. You know, they knew for example that there was a super-high correlation between the purchase of beer and diapers. Now, that is not because men are all babies, as all of the women here know.
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I dont know if its going to work. It might; it might not. But were going to try it its going to be on Nigeria. Instead of relying on those who can make it to the the meeting or happen to be in town at critical junctions to shape it, we will engage any who are knowledgeable and let the wikipedia process operate. Well see if it works. We might have to tweak.
We might want to run the regular process in parallel, as we are running in parallel a number of analytic efforts where we give the same questions to an outside group using open sources as we give the community to work using all of our. Exactly how much better, and on what questions, does classified information yield better insights than what we can produce using unclassified information? There are people that describe this as one of the scariest innovations that I have launched. It shouldnt be scary; review it should help analysts to direct their time and attention to where they get the biggest bang for the buck. This is just one of the initiatives discussed in the speech peech by Amb. Ted McNamara, program Manager, Information Sharing Environment (ISE) ( local copy ) peech. Of National Intelligence for Science and Technology ( local copy ) And that led us to look at supermarkets.
Army, 2011 dia annual Threat Assessment ( local copy ), testimony before senate Armed Services Committee, by director, defense Intelligence Agency, lt Gen Ronald. Army, 2007 Current and Projected National Security Threats to the United States ( local copy ), testimony before senate Armed Services Committee, by director, defense Intelligence Agency, lt Gen Michael. Army, efense security service (DSS) National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) National Intelligence Estimates, national Intelligence council (NIC) Declassified key judgments of the national Intelligence Estimate "Trends in Global Terrorism: Implications for the United States" dated April 2006 ( local copy ) Sherman Kent and the board. Of National Intelligence and cio, and Hon. John Grimes, dod cio ( local copy ) peech. Of National Intelligence for Analysis ( local copy ) What are those objectives?
One is to transform the analytic component of our community from a federation of agencies, or a collection of feudal baronies, into a community of analysts, professionals dedicated to providing the best and most timely, most accurate, most useful analytic insights to all of the. Government, and even outside the United States. Central to all of this is collaboration. I always use the word collaborations rather than cooperation. Cooperation is something we make people do: Play nice in the sandbox. You will come to this coordination meeting. Thats not good enough. Collaboration must be something people are excited to do; do without thinking about; do in ways that are invisible or transparent; do because they recognize it leads to better insights, and more timely responses. Were about to launch an experiment in producing a national Intelligence Estimate using the Intellipedia.
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Clapper, 2010 Annual Threat Assessment of the us intelligence community ( like local copy ), testimony before senate select Committee on Intelligence, by director of National Intelligence dennis. Blair, 2009 Annual Threat Assessment of the Intelligence community ( local copy ), testimony before senate select Committee on Intelligence, by director of National Intelligence dennis. Blair, 2008 Annual Threat Assessment of the director of National Intelligence ( local copy ), testimony before senate select Committee on Intelligence, by director of National Intelligence. Michael McConnell, 2007 Annual Threat Assessment of the director of National Intelligence ( local copy ), testimony before senate Armed Services Committee, by director of National Intelligence. Michael McConnell, 2007 Annual Threat Assessment of the director of National Intelligence ( local copy ), testimony before senate select Committee on Intelligence, by director of National Intelligence john. Negroponte, 2006 Annual Threat Assessment of the director of National Intelligence ( local copy ), testimony before senate Armed Services Committee, by director of National Intelligence john. Negroponte, cia annual Worldwide Threat Briefings to congress dia national Security Threat Assessment 2013 dia annual Threat Assessment ( local copy ), testimony before senate Armed Services Committee, by director, defense Intelligence Agency, lt Gen Michael. Army, 2012 dia annual Threat Assessment ( local copy ), testimony before senate Armed Services Committee, by director, defense Intelligence Agency, lt Gen Ronald.
In today's security environment it is capability that must be assumed. " National counterterrorism Center (nctc) Threats and Protection, department of Homeland Security - includes current Threat Advisory level Intelligence and Law Enforcement: countering Transnational Threats to the. ( malayalam local copy ), congressional Research Service Threat from Al-qaeda, bioterrorism, wmd/cbrne attack, and others, including such topics as how they pick their targets National Threat Assessment Center (ntac), secret Service missile Threats Foreign Threats to Protected Information, dss info Protective intelligence and Threat Assessment. albert Einstein see also Predicting violent Behavior ( local copy ), defense Science board task force report, aug 2012 dni annual Threat Assessment 2013 Annual Worldwide Threat Assessment of the. Intelligence community ( local copy ), testimony before senate select Committee on Intelligence, by director of National Intelligence james. Clapper, 2012 Annual Worldwide Threat Assessment of the. Intelligence community ( local copy ), testimony before house permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, by director of National Intelligence james. Clapper, 2011 Annual Worldwide Threat Assessment of the.
august 2005 white paper, including discussion of joint Threat Anticipation Center (jtac) - operated collaboratively by the University of Chicago and. Testimony of Director of fbi, robert. Mueller, iii current and Projected National Security Threats to the United States ( local copy ), 24 Feb. Testimony of Director of Defense Intelligence Agency, vice Admiral Lowell. Jacoby Threat Kingdom ( local copy ), by Flynt, foreign Military Studies Office - includes table of emerging threats, means, targets, and ends ( html version ) "In today's increasingly complex security environment, states are not the only major actors, and technology arms small groups. Technology and the proliferation of knowledge have made biological, radiological, chemical and cyber capabilities available to nonstate actors. Kennan's world assumed the intent of specific state actors based on their public declarations and other information. Determining others' capabilities—for example, by counting missile silos—was essential.
Intelligence community ( local copy ), additional views of Senator Richard. Shelby, vice Chairman, senate select Committee on Intelligence, ic21: The Intelligence community in the 21st Century ( local copy ), staff study, permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, house of Representatives, 104th Congress, 1996. The Information Edge: Imagery Intelligence and geospatial Information in an evolving National Security Environment, the nima commission report, defense Science board (DSB) reports, t source for distributed intelligence research white papers. National Security Archive, at george washington Univ., with declassified documents and analysis of the role of intelligence in various wars and operations. Digital National Security Archive, the literature of Intelligence: a bibliography of Materials, with Essays, reviews, and Comments, by Clark, muskingum College federation of American Scientists (FAS), variety of weapons essay and intel links and material m, global intelligence updates, including newsletter Association of Former Intelligence Officers. Freedom of Information Act (foia), full text Intelligence (INT) online, french electronic newsletter, by paid subscription, some free samples online Intelligence Online, also available in French, some free stuff, rest by subscription account Africa Intelligence, also available in French, some free stuff, rest by subscription. But what must intelligence do to improve? What problems must it resolve? What is its future?
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Major intelligence failures are usually caused by failures of analysis, not failures of collection. Relevant information is discounted, misinterpreted, ignored, rejected, or overlooked because it fails to fit a prevailing mental model or mind-set. richards heuer, not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted. albert Einstein, only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity. National Intelligence Strategies, general sources, see also same section on, cyberspace information Operations Study center. Gov, congressional Research Service (CRS) reports on intelligence, local copies, a strategic-level Intelligence Advisors Lessons learned ( local copy ), by Chang, in, military review, july-august 2012. People's Liberation Army air Force 2010 ( local copy ), from the national Air and Space Intelligence center (nasic) 2005 International Conference on Intelligence Analysis, may 2005, sponsored by the Office of the Assistant Director of Central Intelligence for review Analysis and Production - many papers/briefings. Intelligence links resources, intelligence forum, september 11 and the Imperative of Reform in the.